It’s Election Day, and stock markets have been ignoring these 2 risky scenarios, warns strategist

It’s Election Day, and stock markets have been ignoring these 2 risky scenarios, warns strategist

Stocks around the world are climbing as U.S. voters get ready to head to the polls. But one strategist at a Swiss bank warns investors are ignoring two… NEW YORK, Nov. 02, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Pomerantz LLP announces that a class action lawsuit has been filed against certain officers of Evolus, Inc…. TORONTO, Nov. 03, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — International Petroleum Corporation (IPC or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) today released its… The retailer is firing on all cylinders heading into what will be a coronavirus-crimped holiday shopping season.

A euphoric mood is greeting investors on the eve of the U.S. election, as stocks climb around the world, and Wall Street is off to another bullish session.

Some say markets may be pre-emptively celebrating a White House and Senate win for Democrats and maybe bigger stimulus aid, though opinions vary as markets continue to rebound from last week’s selloff.

“Whether Trump or Biden wins the election is not really what matters. Fears of a contested election have eased, and this is keeping stocks bid,” Milan Cutkovic, market analyst at Axi, told clients.

Spoiling all this pre-election giddiness is our call of the day, from Unigestion’s head of macro and dynamic allocation, Guilhem Savry, who cautions that the balance of risks is leaning toward “significant risk reduction,” with markets underestimating two negative scenarios.

The first: a “globalization of a second wave of COVID-19 contagion from Europe to the U.S.” Governments and markets are wiser this time around, which eliminates some uncertainty, and we’ve got vaccines on the horizon, he notes.

But going into that wave, Savry sees weak U.S. consumption, and external demand problems for China, which reflects troubles in Europe, a region that “does not appear strong enough to withstand a second shock.” That is as stimulus from deeply indebted governments this time around would have far less punch and 0% interest rates are all over.

The second risk is the U.S. election itself. Savry warns financial markets have been convincing themselves of a so-called ‘blue wave,’ with investors rotating into stocks that would benefit from sizable Democratic stimulus help. Clearly, opinions vary on that as the election is close.

But Savry expects a “mixed government” — a Republican Senate and Democratic president. “Such a political situation would, in the short term have a negative impact on growth assets given current expectations,” for stimulus, and President Donald Trump could contest that result, driving up uncertainty.

“This scenario seems underpriced by markets at this stage,” says Savry.

In the past few weeks, he has adopted a more bearish stance on risk assets such as developed equities and high-yield credit spreads. He says only two things will reverse that stance in the short term — a vaccine arrival and/or global coordinated stimulus of 10% of gross domestic product, well supported by central banks.

The markets

The buzz

The last round of national polls show former Vice President Joe Biden ahead of Trump, and in many battleground states, with 100 million early votes already cast. Stay up to date with our live blog.

Read: The stock market’s ‘presidential predictor’ forecasts a Biden win — but another measure moves back in Trump’s favor

As COVID-19 continues its rampant spread on both sides of the Atlantic, Massachusett’s Gov. Charlie Baker has announced new restrictions, including a nightly curfew, to bring COVID-19 cases under control. That is as top White House coronavirus adviser, Dr. Deborah Birx, warned the U.S. is entering the “most deadly phase” and urged “much more aggressive action.”

Authorities in Vienna, Austria, are on a manhunt after gunmen carried out a terrorist attack that left five people dead and 17 injured on Monday evening.

Shares of PayPal are down after the online payments processor’s less cheery-than-expected holiday forecast.

Factory orders and automobile sales are ahead.

The massive effort to test and develop COVID-19 treatments, innovative technology behind the cloud and how one venture capitalist finds investing opportunities. Hear from LabCorp and Arista CEOS and the co-founder of Defy this Thursday at 1 p.m. ET. Register here for Barron’s Investing in Tech.

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Author: Barbara Kollmeyer

SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Reminds Shareholders with Losses on their Investment in Evolus, Inc. of Class Action Lawsuit and Upcoming Deadline – EOLS

SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Reminds Shareholders with Losses on their Investment in Evolus, Inc. of Class Action Lawsuit and Upcoming Deadline – EOLS

NEW YORK, Nov. 02, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Pomerantz LLP announces that a class action lawsuit has been filed against certain officers of Evolus, Inc. (“Evolus” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: EOLS). The class action, filed in United States District Court for the Southern District of New York, and docketed under 20-cv-09053, is on behalf of a class consisting of all persons other than Defendants who purchased or otherwise, acquired Evolus securities between February 1, 2019 and July 6, 2020, both dates inclusive (the “Class Period”), seeking to recover damages caused by Defendants’ violation of the federal securities laws and to pursue remedies under Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) and Rule 10b-5 promulgated thereunder, against the Company and certain of its top officials.

If you are a shareholder who purchased Evolus securities during the class period, you have until December 15, 2020, to ask the Court to appoint you as Lead Plaintiff for the class. A copy of the Complaint can be obtained at To discuss this action, contact Robert S. Willoughby at or 888.476.6529 (or 888.4-POMLAW), toll-free, Ext. 7980. Those who inquire by e-mail are encouraged to include their mailing address, telephone number, and the number of shares purchased. 

[Click here for information about joining the class action]

Evolus is a Delaware corporation headquartered in Newport Beach, California. The Company operates as a medical aesthetics company, and develops, produces, and markets clinical neurotoxins for the treatment of aesthetic concerns. Evolus’ sole product is Jeuveau™, which is a purified botulinum toxin indicated for the temporary improvement in the appearance of moderate to severe frown lines in adults. As such, Evolus directly competes with Botox®, which is manufactured by Allergan plc and Allergan Inc. (“Allergan”) and distributed by Medytox Inc. (“Medytox”). Botox® has been the gold standard of the industry since its approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) more than two decades ago.

Beginning in February 2019, Evolus embarked on a public campaign to hype the market right before the commercial launch of its sole leading product Jeuveau™. To secure an aggressive growth and rapid influx of revenue, Defendants disseminated dozens of public statements in which they promoted Jeuveau™ as a proprietary formulation of the botulinum toxic type A complex, purportedly developed by Korean bioengineering company Daewoong through years of clinical research and millions of dollars’ worth of investment in research and development. Among other things, Evolus promised investors that it would attain the number two U.S. market position within twenty-four months of launch.

The complaint alleges that throughout the Class Period, Defendants made materially false and/or misleading because they misrepresented and failed to disclose the following adverse facts pertaining to the Company’s business, operations, and prospects, which were known to Defendants or recklessly disregarded by them. Specifically, Defendants made false and/or misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (i) the real source of botulinum toxin bacterial strain as well as the manufacturing processes used to develop Jeuveau™ originated with and were misappropriated from Medytox; (ii) sufficient evidentiary support existed for the allegations that Evolus misappropriated certain trade secrets relating to the botulin toxin strain and the manufacturing processes for the development of Jeuveau™; (iii) as a result, Evolus faced a real threat of regulatory and/or court action, prohibiting the import, marketing, and sale of Jeuveau™; which in turn (iv) seriously threatened Evolus’ ability to commercialize Jeuveau™ in the U.S. and generate revenue; and (v) any revenues generated from the sale of Jeuveau™ were based on Evolus’ unlawful activities, including the misappropriation of trade secrets and secret manufacturing processes belonging to Allergan and Medytox.

The investing public learned the truth about Jeuveau™ on July 6, 2020, when the U.S. International Trade Commission (“ITC”) issued its Initial Final Determination in a case brought by Allergan and Medytox against Evolus, alleging that Evolus stole certain trade secrets to develop Jeuveau™. Coming as a great surprise to unsuspecting investors, the ITC Judge found that Evolus misappropriated the botulinum toxin strain as well as the manufacturing processes that led to its development and manufacture. Additionally, the ITC Judge recommended a ten-year-long ban on Evolus’ ability to import Jeuveau™ into the U.S. and a ten-year-long cease-and-desist order preventing Evolus from selling Jeuveau™ in the U.S.

This news caused a precipitous and immediate decline in the price of Evolus shares, which fell 37% over the course of two trading days, to close at $3.35 per share on July 8, 2020, on unusually high trading volume. Following the news of the ITC’s Initial Final Determination and the subsequent price drop of Evolus’ common shares, several securities analysts downgraded Evolus’ rating and significantly lowered the Company’s price target.

The Pomerantz Firm, with offices in New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, and Paris is acknowledged as one of the premier firms in the areas of corporate, securities, and antitrust class litigation. Founded by the late Abraham L. Pomerantz, known as the dean of the class action bar, the Pomerantz Firm pioneered the field of securities class actions. Today, more than 80 years later, the Pomerantz Firm continues in the tradition he established, fighting for the rights of the victims of securities fraud, breaches of fiduciary duty, and corporate misconduct. The Firm has recovered numerous multimillion-dollar damages awards on behalf of class members. See

Robert S. Willoughby
Pomerantz LLP
888-476-6529 ext. 7980

New York, New York, UNITED STATES


Author: Pomerantz LLP

International Petroleum Corporation Third Quarter 2020 Financial Results and Sustainability Report

International Petroleum Corporation Third Quarter 2020 Financial Results and Sustainability Report

TORONTO, Nov. 03, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — International Petroleum Corporation (IPC or the Corporation) (TSX, Nasdaq Stockholm: IPCO) today released its financial and operating results and related management’s discussion and analysis for the nine months ended September 30, 2020. IPC also announces the release of its first Sustainability Report, which details the Corporation’s environmental, social, and governance (“ESG”) performance.

Business Update

  • Forecast 2020 net average production revised upwards to over 41,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) from the prior guidance of 37,000 to 40,000 boepd.
  • Capital and decommissioning expenditure guidance forecast for full year 2020 unchanged at MUSD 80.
  • Continued financial flexibility with access to more than MUSD 100 of spare financial headroom as at the end of Q3 2020.
  • First IPC Sustainability Report published.

Q3 2020 Financial and Operational Highlights

  • Average net production of approximately 41,800 boepd for Q3 2020 (39% heavy crude oil, 21% light and medium crude oil and 40% natural gas).
  • Strong production performance with a faster than forecast production ramp up and good reservoir performance at the major oil assets in Canada. Full year net average daily production now expected to exceed the high end of Q2 guidance.
  • Operating costs of USD 12.4 per boe for Q3 2020, in line with Q2 2020 guidance. Full year forecast expected at the lower end of the range of USD 12 to 13 per boe.
  • Operating cash flow and free cash flow generation for the third quarter 2020 amounted to MUSD 37.2 and MUSD 22.8 as a result of stronger oil prices and increased production compared to the second quarter 2020.
  • Free cash flow yield for Q3 2020 greater than 8%, calculated as the USD 22.8 million free cash flow for Q3 2020 as a percentage of IPC’s USD 280 million market capitalization as at September 30, 2020.
  • Net debt decreased from MUSD 341.4 as at June 30, 2020 to MUSD 322.1 as at September 30, 2020.
  • At the beginning of Q3 2020, the refinancing of IPC’s RBL credit facilities was successfully concluded. The International RBL facility size was increased to MUSD 140 and the maturity extended to the end of 2024. The Canadian RBL facility was refinanced at MCAD 350 and extended until end May 2022. In addition, in Q2 2020, a MEUR 13 credit facility was secured in France.

Mike Nicholson, IPC’s Chief Executive Officer, commented,

“During the third quarter of 2020, we began to see some positive results from the production curtailments implemented by OPEC+ and other oil producers in response to the collapse in oil demand driven by the Covid-19 pandemic. Those actions managed to flatten the curve of inventory builds towards the end of the second quarter. This in turn led to the oil market moving into deficit during the third quarter with a draw down in inventory levels as the rebalancing process commenced. As a result of the market tightening, average Brent oil prices increased from second quarter levels of around USD 30 per barrel to above USD 40 per barrel during the third quarter.

Clearly though, uncertainties remain with the onset of a second wave of Covid-19 infections. The full impact of new localized confinement measures being introduced creates a degree of uncertainty with respect to the pace and magnitude of the recovery in oil demand. For a sustained recovery in oil prices, discipline and compliance on the supply side measures announced by OPEC+ will be essential, particularly when considering the timing of easing of the supply curtailments.

As a result, we believe it is prudent to exercise caution with respect to future capital expenditure and growth plans, and we have no plans to increase our reset 2020 expenditure program. We expect to set a budget for 2021 with a focus on free cash flow generation and debt reduction.

Update of 2020 Business Plan
Given that IPC operates the majority of our assets, during the first half of 2020 we had the financial and operational flexibility to react swiftly to the situation and to positively position IPC to navigate through this period of low commodity prices. We reduced all remaining discretionary 2020 expenditures. In addition, during the second quarter of 2020, we took the decision to temporarily curtail oil production from those fields that were not expected to generate positive cash flows at the low pricing levels we were experiencing.

With the improvement in our business outlook, and in particular the strengthening of Canadian crude oil prices, we took the decision in late Q2 2020, to progressively bring back on stream our oil production from our Suffield Oil asset and our Onion Lake Thermal asset.

Third Quarter Performance
Our average third quarter net production of 41,800 boepd was above our Q2 2020 guidance which gives us average net production of 41,200 boepd for the first nine months of 2020. As a result of this strong recovery in production, we now expect IPC’s full year 2020 average net production to be above 41,000 boepd.

Operating cash flow generation for the third quarter amounted to USD 37.2 million, ahead of our Q2 2020 forecast as a result of stronger oil prices and higher than forecast production. Moreover, as a result of our spending reductions, operational choices and hedging program, IPC generated approximately USD 23 million of free cash flow during the third quarter of 2020, yielding greater than 8%.

Sustainability Reporting
Responsible operatorship and ensuring that we adhere to the highest principles of business conduct have been an integral part of how we do business since the creation of IPC in 2017. Over the past three years, IPC has rapidly grown our business with the completion of three acquisitions in Canada as well as significant investments in our French and Malaysian businesses.

In parallel, we have made a concerted effort to further develop and improve our sustainability strategy. An important part of this journey involves the measurement and transparent reporting of a broad range of ESG metrics. We are very pleased that IPC is today presenting to our stakeholders for the first time, our inaugural Sustainability Report.

The Sustainability Report 2019 details the Corporation’s ESG performance. The Sustainability Report 2019 advances the Corporation’s non-financial disclosures and provides stakeholders with relevant operational and sustainability context in which IPC operates, as well as the Corporation’s management approach and performance with respect to these areas. The report is available on IPC’s website at

Highlights of IPC’s sustainability performance for 2019 include:

  • Greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions stewardship with enhance energy efficiency at IPC’s onshore and offshore facilities avoiding the release of 150,000 t CO2e annually. IPC also restates our target announced at our Capital Markets Day in February 2020 to reduce our net GHG emissions intensity to the global average by the end of 2025, which will represent a 50% reduction relative to the Corporation’s 2019 baseline.
  • Workforce drawn 98% from local hiring and composed of 29% women.
  • 30% of the workforce at the Onion Lake asset are hired from the First Nations community and USD 14.3 million was spent with First Nation businesses.

In Q3 2020, IPC joined the United Nations Global Compact, a leading global initiative for good corporate citizenship. We support and are committed to upholding the 10 Principles of the UN Global Compact on human rights, labour, environment and anti-corruption, and will report on progress on an annual basis.”

International Petroleum Corp. (IPC) is an international oil and gas exploration and production company with a high quality portfolio of assets located in Canada, Malaysia and France, providing a solid foundation for organic and inorganic growth. IPC is a member of the Lundin Group of Companies. IPC is incorporated in Canada and IPC’s shares are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the Nasdaq Stockholm exchange under the symbol “IPCO”.

For further information, please contact:


This information is information that International Petroleum Corporation is required to make public pursuant to the EU Market Abuse Regulation and the Securities Markets Act. The information was submitted for publication, through the contact persons set out above, at 07:30 CET on November 3, 2020. The Corporation’s unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements (Financial Statements) and management’s discussion and analysis (MD&A) for the nine months ended September 30, 2020 have been filed on SEDAR ( and are also available on the Corporation’s website (

Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains statements and information which constitute “forward-looking statements” or “forward-looking information” (within the meaning of applicable securities legislation). Such statements and information (together, “forward-looking statements”) relate to future events, including the Corporation’s future performance, business prospects or opportunities. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this press release are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release, unless otherwise indicated. IPC does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update these forward-looking statements, except as required by applicable laws.

The Covid-19 virus and the restrictions and disruptions related to it, as well as the actions of certain oil and gas producing nations, have had a drastic adverse effect in 2020 on the world demand for, and prices of, oil and gas as well as the market price of the shares of oil and gas companies generally, including the Corporation’s common shares. Commodity prices in Q3 2020 improved although such prices are still below recent historical levels and there can be no assurance that commodity prices will not decrease or remain volatile in the future. These factors are beyond the control of the Corporation and it is difficult to assess how these, and other factors, will continue to affect the Corporation and the market price of IPC’s common shares. In light of the current situation, as at the date of this press release, the Corporation continues to review and assess its business plans and assumptions regarding the business environment, as well as its estimates of future production, cash flows, operating costs and capital expenditures.

All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, forecasts, guidance, budgets, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “seek”, “anticipate”, “plan”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “forecast”, “predict”, “potential”, “targeting”, “intend”, “could”, “might”, “should”, “believe”, “budget” and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be “forward-looking statements”.

Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to:

  • IPC’s ability to maximize liquidity and financial flexibility in connection with the current and any future Covid-19 outbreaks and reductions in commodity prices;
  • the expectation that recent actions will assist in reducing inventory builds and in rebalancing markets, including supply and demand for oil and gas;
  • the potential for an improved economic environment in 2021 resulting from a lack of capital investment and drilling in the oil and gas industry;
  • 2020 production range, operating costs and capital and decommissioning expenditure estimates;
  • estimates of future production, cash flows, operating costs and capital expenditures that are based on IPC’s current business plans and assumptions regarding the business environment, which are subject to change;
  • IPC’s ability to continue to reduce expenditures to forecast levels;
  • IPC’s financial and operational flexibility to continue to react to recent events and navigate the Corporation through periods of low commodity prices;
  • IPC’s ability to continue to reduce expenditures and to curtail production, and to continue the resumption of such production to expected levels following curtailment;
  • IPC’s continued access to its existing credit facilities, including current financial headroom, on terms acceptable to the Corporation;
  • the ability to fully fund 2020 expenditures from cash flows and current borrowing capacity;
  • IPC’s flexibility to remain within existing financial headroom;
  • IPC’s ability to maintain operations, production and business in light of the current and any future Covid-19 outbreaks and the restrictions and disruptions related thereto, including risks related to production delays and interruptions, changes in laws and regulations and reliance on third-party operators and infrastructure;
  • IPC’s intention and ability to continue to implement our strategies to build long-term shareholder value;
  • the ability of IPC’s portfolio of assets to provide a solid foundation for organic and inorganic growth;
  • the continued facility uptime and reservoir performance in IPC’s areas of operation;
  • future development potential of the Suffield operations, including future oil drilling and gas optimization programs;
  • development of the Blackrod project in Canada;
  • current and future drilling pad production and timing and success of facility upgrades and tie-in work at Onion Lake Thermal;
  • the ability of IPC to achieve and maintain current and forecast production and take advantage of production growth and development upside opportunities related to the oil and gas assets acquired in the Granite Acquisition;
  • the timing and success of the future development projects and other organic growth opportunities in France;
  • the ability to maintain current and forecast production in France;
  • the ability of IPC to identify alternative transportation and marketing options for Paris Basin production in connection with the announced closure of the Total-operated Grandpuits refinery, on terms acceptable to the Corporation;
  • the ability of IPC to achieve and maintain current and forecast production in Malaysia;
  • IPC’s ability to implement its GHG emissions intensity and climate strategies and to achieve its net GHG emissions intensity reduction targets;
  • estimates of reserves;
  • estimates of contingent resources;
  • the ability to generate free cash flows and use that cash to repay debt; and
  • future drilling and other exploration and development activities.

Statements relating to “reserves” and “contingent resources” are also deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves and resources described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and that the reserves and resources can be profitably produced in the future. Ultimate recovery of reserves or resources is based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and assumptions of management.

The forward-looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by IPC, including expectations and assumptions concerning: prevailing commodity prices and currency exchange rates; applicable royalty rates and tax laws; interest rates; future well production rates and reserve and contingent resource volumes; operating costs; the timing of receipt of regulatory approvals; the performance of existing wells; the success obtained in drilling new wells; anticipated timing and results of capital expenditures; the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned activities; the timing, location and extent of future drilling operations; the successful completion of acquisitions and dispositions; the benefits of acquisitions; the state of the economy and the exploration and production business in the jurisdictions in which IPC operates and globally; the availability and cost of financing, labor and services; and the ability to market crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids successfully.

Although IPC believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements because IPC can give no assurances that they will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to:

  • the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production;
  • delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures;
  • the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to reserves, resources, production, revenues, costs and expenses;
  • health, safety and environmental risks;
  • commodity price fluctuations, including those experienced in 2020;
  • exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations;
  • marketing and transportation;
  • loss of markets;
  • environmental risks;
  • competition;
  • incorrect assessment of the value of acquisitions;
  • failure to complete or realize the anticipated benefits of acquisitions or dispositions;
  • the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources;
  • failure to obtain required regulatory and other approvals; and
  • changes in legislation, including but not limited to tax laws, royalties, environmental and abandonment regulations.

Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive.

Additional information on these and other factors that could affect IPC, or its operations or financial results, are included in the Financial Statements and MD&A for the nine months ended September 30, 2020 (See “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information”), the Corporation’s Annual Information Form (AIF) for the year ended December 31, 2019 (See “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information”, “Reserves and Resources Advisory” and “Risk Factors”) and other reports on file with applicable securities regulatory authorities, including previous financial reports, management’s discussion and analysis and material change reports, which may be accessed through the SEDAR website ( or IPC’s website (

The current and any future Covid-19 outbreaks may increase IPC’s exposure to, and magnitude of, each of the risks and uncertainties identified in these reports that result from a reduction in demand for oil and gas consumption and/or lower commodity prices and/or reliance on third parties. The extent to which Covid-19 impacts IPC’s business, results of operations and financial condition will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and are difficult to predict, including, but not limited to, the duration and spread of the current and any future Covid-19 outbreaks, their severity, the actions taken to contain such outbreaks or treat their impact, and how quickly and to what extent normal economic and operating conditions resume and their impacts to IPC’s business, results of operations and financial condition which could be more significant in upcoming periods as compared with the first nine months of 2020. Even after the Covid-19 outbreaks have subsided, IPC may continue to experience materially adverse impacts to IPC’s business as a result of the global economic impact.

Non-IFRS Measures
References are made in this press release to “operating cash flow” (OCF), “free cash flow” (FCF), “Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization” (EBITDA), “operating costs” and “net debt”, which are not generally accepted accounting measures under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and, therefore, may not be comparable with similar measures presented by other public companies. Non-IFRS measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS.

The Corporation uses non-IFRS measures to provide investors with supplemental measures to assess the cash generated by and the financial performance and position of the Corporation. Management also uses non-IFRS measures internally in order to facilitate operating performance comparisons from period to period, prepare annual operating budgets and assess the Corporation’s ability to meet its future capital expenditure and working capital requirements. Management believes these non-IFRS measures are important supplemental measures of operating performance because they highlight trends in the core business that may not otherwise be apparent when relying solely on IFRS financial measures. Management believes such measures allow for assessment of the Corporation’s operating performance and financial condition on a basis that is more consistent and comparable between reporting periods. The Corporation also believes that securities analysts, investors and other interested parties frequently use non-IFRS measures in the evaluation of issuers. Forward-looking statements are provided for the purpose of presenting information about management’s current expectations and plans relating to the future and readers are cautioned that such statements may not be appropriate for other purposes.

The definition and reconciliation of each non-IFRS measure is presented in IPC’s MD&A (See “Non-IFRS Measures” therein). Free cash flow yield for Q3 2020 is calculated as free cash flow for Q3 2020 being USD 22,766 thousand divided by the market capitalization of IPC as at September 30, 2020 being approximately USD 280 million.

Disclosure of Oil and Gas Information
This press release contains references to estimates of gross and net reserves and resources attributed to the Corporation’s oil and gas assets. Gross reserves / resources are the working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests. Net reserves / resources are the working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus royalty interests in reserves/resources, and in respect of PSCs in Malaysia, adjusted for cost and profit oil. Unless otherwise indicated, reserves / resource volumes are presented on a gross basis.

Reserve estimates, contingent resource estimates and estimates of future net revenue in respect of IPC’s oil and gas assets in Canada (including oil and gas assets acquired in the Granite Acquisition) are effective as of December 31, 2019, and are included in the reports prepared by Sproule Associates Limited (Sproule), an independent qualified reserves evaluator, in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (NI 51-101) and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the COGE Handbook) and using Sproule’s December 31, 2019 price forecasts.

Reserve estimates, contingent resource estimates and estimates of future net revenue in respect of IPC’s oil and gas assets in France and Malaysia are effective as of December 31, 2019, and are included in the report prepared by ERC Equipoise Ltd. (ERCE), an independent qualified reserves auditor, in accordance with NI 51-101 and the COGE Handbook, and using Sproule’s December 31, 2019 price forecasts.

The price forecasts used in the Sproule and ERCE reports are available on the website of Sproule ( and are contained in the AIF. These price forecasts are as at December 31, 2019 and may not be reflective of current and future forecast commodity prices.

2P reserves as at December 31, 2019 of 300 MMboe includes 286.2 MMboe attributable to IPC’s oil and gas assets and 14.0 MMboe attributable to oil and gas assets acquired in the Granite Acquisition. Contingent resources (best estimate, unrisked) as at December 31, 2019 of 1,089 MMboe includes 1,082.5 MMboe attributable to IPC’s oil and gas assets and 6.2 MMboe attributable to oil and gas assets acquired in the Granite Acquisition. The reserve life index (RLI) is calculated by dividing the 2P reserves of 300 MMboe as at December 31, 2019 (including the 2P reserves attributable to oil and gas assets acquired in the Granite Acquisition), by the mid-point of the 2020 CMD production guidance of 46,000 to 50,000 boepd.

The product types comprising the 2P reserves described in this press release are contained in the AIF. Light, medium and heavy crude oil reserves/resources disclosed in this press release include solution gas and other by-products.

Light, medium and heavy crude oil reserves/resources disclosed in this press release include solution gas and other by-products.

“2P reserves” means proved plus probable reserves. “Proved reserves” are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. “Probable reserves” are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.

Each of the reserves categories reported (proved and probable) may be divided into developed and undeveloped categories. “Developed reserves” are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production. The developed category may be subdivided into producing and non-producing. “Developed producing reserves” are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty. “Developed non-producing reserves” are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut-in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown. “Undeveloped reserves” are those reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable) to which they are assigned.

Contingent resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies are conditions that must be satisfied for a portion of contingent resources to be classified as reserves that are: (a) specific to the project being evaluated; and (b) expected to be resolved within a reasonable timeframe. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political, and regulatory matters, or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage. Contingent resources are further classified in accordance with the level of certainty associated with the estimates and may be sub-classified based on a project maturity and/or characterized by their economic status.

There are three classifications of contingent resources: low estimate, best estimate and high estimate. Best estimate is a classification of estimated resources described in the COGE Handbook as being considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will be actually recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.

Contingent resources are further classified based on project maturity. The project maturity subclasses include development pending, development on hold, development unclarified and development not viable. All of the Corporation’s contingent resources are classified as either development on hold or development unclarified. Development on hold is defined as a contingent resource where there is a reasonable chance of development, but there are major non-technical contingencies to be resolved that are usually beyond the control of the operator. Development unclarified is defined as a contingent resource that requires further appraisal to clarify the potential for development and has been assigned a lower chance of development until contingencies can be clearly defined. Chance of development is the probability of a project being commercially viable.

References to “unrisked” contingent resources volumes means that the reported volumes of contingent resources have not been risked (or adjusted) based on the chance of commerciality of such resources. In accordance with the COGE Handbook for contingent resources, the chance of commerciality is solely based on the chance of development based on all contingencies required for the re-classification of the contingent resources as reserves being resolved. Therefore unrisked reported volumes of contingent resources do not reflect the risking (or adjustment) of such volumes based on the chance of development of such resources.

The contingent resources reported in this press release are estimates only. The estimates are based upon a number of factors and assumptions each of which contains estimation error which could result in future revisions of the estimates as more technical and commercial information becomes available. The estimation factors include, but are not limited to, the mapped extent of the oil and gas accumulations, geologic characteristics of the reservoirs, and dynamic reservoir performance. There are numerous risks and uncertainties associated with recovery of such resources, including many factors beyond the Corporation’s control. There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the contingent resources referred to in this press release. References to “contingent resources” do not constitute, and should be distinguished from, references to “reserves”.

2P reserves and contingent resources included in the reports prepared by Sproule and ERCE in respect of IPC’s oil and gas assets in Canada, France and Malaysia have been aggregated by IPC and may also be aggregated by IPC with the 2P reserves and contingent resources attributable to the oil and gas assets acquired in the Granite Acquisition included in the reports prepared by Sproule on behalf of IPC. Estimates of reserves, resources and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same level of confidence as estimates of reserves, resources and future net revenue for all properties, due to aggregation. This press release contains estimates of the net present value of the future net revenue from IPC’s reserves. The estimated values of future net revenue disclosed in this press release do not represent fair market value. There is no assurance that the forecast prices and cost assumptions used in the reserve evaluations will be attained and variances could be material.

BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 thousand cubic feet (Mcf) per 1 barrel (bbl) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. As the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a 6:1 conversion basis may be misleading as an indication of value.

All dollar amounts in this press release are expressed in United States dollars, except where otherwise noted. References herein to USD mean United States dollars. References herein to CAD mean Canadian dollars.

International Petroleum Corporation


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Author: International Petroleum Corporation

You're Smart to Stock Up on Walmart

You’re Smart to Stock Up on Walmart

If you’re a risk-seeker on the hunt for double-digit growth, look elsewhere. If you’re in the market for a reliable investment regardless of what happens over the course of the coming few months, put Walmart (NYSE:WMT) on your shopping list. And buy plenty of shares. This brick-and-mortar retailer has turned itself into an all-weather player ready for anything.

That couldn’t be said just a few years ago. Plagued by poorly stocked store shelves, disinterested employees, and an e-commerce platform that was getting trounced by Amazon, Walmart offered no measurable upside. Since taking the helm in 2014, though, CEO Doug McMillon has made the retailer a force to be reckoned with. And the best could be yet to come.

Young man running with a full grocery cart.

Image source: Getty Images.

You know the company. Odds are good you even shop at one or more of its 11,484 worldwide stores, more than 4,700 of which are found in the United States (not counting its Sam’s Club warehouses). It’s not only the nation’s biggest seller of groceries, it’s the go-to place for millions of consumers to purchase school supplies, electronics, home goods, hardware, and more.

That revenue mix is what makes Walmart such a consistent company.

Walmart's revenue and per-share earnings are projected to continue growing through 2022.

Data source: Thomson Reuters Eikon. 

Rapid expansion of its curbside pickup program in response to the coronavirus pandemic will only bolster this consistency.

The company didn’t offer specifics about the service, but its 97% year-over-year growth in e-commerce sales during the quarter ending in July was certainly aided by consumers’ rush for the contactless shopping option. And although it didn’t say how much of it can be specifically attributed to the retailer, research firm Ipsos touted Walmart as consumers’ favorite buy-online/pickup-in-store venue in the wake of the 78% nationwide increase in curbside pickup since the coronavirus took hold. Notably, Ipsos’ data suggests 69% of curbside-pickup shoppers will continue to use the option even once the pandemic passes.

Some customers don’t even have to drive to the store to retrieve their orders anymore, either. The retailer’s subscription-based service Walmart+ was launched in mid-September, offering free unlimited store-to-home deliveries for members at a modest price of $12.95 per month. Of the company’s 4,700 U.S. stores, 2,700 offer same-day delivery to Walmart+ subscribers. Early interest has been impressive, too. A Piplsay survey suggested 11% of the country’s 330 million residents had signed up for Walmart+ within two weeks of its mid-September launch.

Both programs attract consumers who may not have otherwise chosen it as their shopping destination. Soaring numbers of new COVID-19 cases in the United States headed into the cooler holiday season make these offerings even more marketable.

McMillon’s vision isn’t just expanded deliveries and curbside pickup, though. He’s thinking more holistically.

Case in point: offering health insurance. In early October, the company unveiled Walmart Insurance Services, wading into the Medicare market just in time for this year’s open enrollment. The program dovetails into its burgeoning healthcare presence. Launched a little over a year ago with one stand-alone clinic, it now has six such locations up and running. Over a dozen more should be open before the end of next year, giving consumers access to services ranging from primary care to optometry to X-rays to dental services, and more.

The company is beefing up its in-store offerings, too. A handful of stores now offer technology installation and support, akin to Best Buy’s Geek Squad. If the pilot program proves itself, presumably more stores will add it. Last month, the company unveiled a new store design that’s loaded with digital tech. New signage encourages the use of Walmart’s app, allowing it to highlight certain products as consumers navigate the store, collecting valuable data in the process.

The company continues to grow its online reach as well. In June, Walmart inked a deal with Shopify that’s expected to add about 1,200 unique Shopify stores to the platform by the end of the year.

Collectively, these ideas position Walmart as a company that makes life easier, saves consumers time, and solves irritating problems.

It’s difficult to assign a specific upside stemming from these evolutions. It’s just as difficult, however, to believe these developments won’t drive revenue and profit growth by drawing a bigger crowd to Walmart’s ecosystem. A data-rich list of customers is very “new economy.”

Perhaps most important right now is the potential impact of another wave of pandemic-related shutdowns. New cases in the U.S. jumped to record highs in October, reprising the potential for the shelf-emptying demand for staples seen in the early days of the contagion. New numbers from Inmar Intelligence say 57% of consumers are considering stockpiling items like toilet paper and hand sanitizer as winter nears. With Walmart more ready for it now than it was then, this buying wave could mean an even merrier quarter.

It may not offer tons of reward, but Walmart imposes a lot less risk than most other names right now.


Author: James Brumley

It’s Election Day, and stock markets have been ignoring these 2 risky scenarios, warns strategist

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